Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006822 0.007626 0.008503 0.009533 0.010714 0.012028 0.013606
2025-04-13 0.005392 0.006448 0.007697 0.009291 0.011289 0.013729 0.016967
2025-04-20 0.004674 0.005842 0.007297 0.009262 0.011880 0.015295 0.020165
2025-04-27 0.004293 0.005564 0.007217 0.009559 0.012848 0.017391 0.024294
2025-05-04 0.003892 0.005195 0.006951 0.009539 0.013339 0.018848 0.027696
2025-05-11 0.003595 0.004926 0.006777 0.009603 0.013923 0.020475 0.031560
2025-05-18 0.003301 0.004625 0.006518 0.009500 0.014223 0.021679 0.034903
2025-05-25 0.003106 0.004446 0.006413 0.009605 0.014841 0.023439 0.039428
2025-06-01 0.002893 0.004219 0.006212 0.009531 0.015147 0.024707 0.043266
2025-06-08 0.002648 0.003922 0.005875 0.009202 0.014980 0.025125 0.045575
2025-06-15 0.002507 0.003775 0.005759 0.009221 0.015409 0.026642 0.050240
2025-06-22 0.002446 0.003750 0.005833 0.009565 0.016445 0.029402 0.057907
2025-06-29 0.002255 0.003505 0.005540 0.009258 0.016290 0.029934 0.061114
2025-07-06 0.002090 0.003294 0.005287 0.009006 0.016216 0.030636 0.064888
2025-07-13 0.001980 0.003166 0.005166 0.008979 0.016570 0.032254 0.071110
2025-07-20 0.001931 0.003137 0.005212 0.009265 0.017583 0.035416 0.081796
2025-07-27 0.001839 0.003027 0.005104 0.009246 0.017961 0.037235 0.089484
2025-08-03 0.001766 0.002945 0.005042 0.009308 0.018515 0.039537 0.099024
2025-08-10 0.001677 0.002829 0.004907 0.009209 0.018702 0.040997 0.106548
2025-08-17 0.001621 0.002769 0.004871 0.009310 0.019351 0.043685 0.118405
2025-08-24 0.001548 0.002672 0.004759 0.009239 0.019592 0.045381 0.127663
2025-08-31 0.001451 0.002525 0.004540 0.008921 0.019214 0.045410 0.131547
2025-09-07 0.001400 0.002461 0.004478 0.008940 0.019653 0.047694 0.143682